On 24 September, Germany will elect the lower house of its federal parliament (Bundestag). Prior to the election, the financial markets are likely to be particularly volatile, in reaction to winner/loser projections and other voting polls.
A new Artificial Intelligence (AI) tool from Swiss Bank, Swissquote, means investors will be able to capitalise on voter opinions to help make informed investment decisions.
Swissquote has launched the #DE30 Social Sentiment Index, developed in collaboration with the Social Media Lab of the EPFL (École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne). The index summarises and evaluates the opinions expressed on social media relating to the German DAX.
An algorithm, with the help of artificial intelligence, identifies investors’ optimistic and pessimistic views. Natural language processing (NLP) is used to interpret the meaning of the large number of messages posted to social media. Graph theory is used to determine the context of each message, so that interpretation errors are avoided.
From this AI analysis, real-time sentiment can be derived – whether the market is likely to move up or down. This new service can help to guide guide investors who wish to adjust or allocate their positions on stock indices and currencies over the lead up to the election.
Swissquote analysts have also compiled an exclusive market analysis on how to trade the German election through the Forex market.
Marc Bürki, CEO of Swissquote commented “The use of artificial intelligence in finance is still beginning. Our goal is to drive its development, so that it can be used as quickly as possible by the broadest possible audience.”